John Sterman

Business Dynamics - a system dynamics text book with CD-ROM models and simulation software

Selected Publications

Books

STERMAN, J. (2009) Business Dynamics (in Japanese), Tokyo, Toyo Keizai.

STERMAN, J. (2008) Business Dynamics (in Chinese), Singapore.

STERMAN, J. (Ed.) (2007) Special Issue of System Dynamics Review celebrating the 50th anniversary of the field, Wiley-Blackwell.

STERMAN, J. D. (Ed.) (2002) The Global Citizen: Celebrating the Life of Dana Meadows. Special issue of System Dynamics Review, 18(2).

STERMAN, J. D. (2001) Instructor's Manual for Business Dynamics: Systems Thinking and Modeling for a Complex World, New York, Irwin/McGraw-Hill.

STERMAN, J. D. (2000) Business Dynamics: Systems Thinking and Modeling for a Complex World, Irwin/McGraw-Hill.

MORECROFT, J. D. W. & STERMAN, J. D. (Eds.) (1994) Modeling for Learning Organizations, Portland, OR, Productivity Press.

MORECROFT, J. D. W. & STERMAN, J. D. (Eds.) (1992) Modelling for Learning: Special Issue of the European Journal of Operational Research. 59 (1), May.

Journal Articles 

RAHMANDAD, H., REPENNING, N. & STERMAN, J. (2009). Effects of Feedback Delay on Learning. System Dynamics Review. 25(4), 309-338.

CRONIN, M., GONZALEZ, C., STERMAN, J. (2009).  Why Don't Well-Educated Adults Understand Accumulation?  A Challenge to Researchers, Educators and Citizens.  Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes.  108, 116-130.

STERMAN, J. D. (2008).  Risk Communication on Climate:  Mental Models and Mass Balance.  Science 322: 53-533. 

STRUBEN, J. and STERMAN, J. (2008). Transition challenges for alternative fuel vehicle and transportation systems. Environment and Planning B. 35, 1070-1097.

RAHMANDAD, H. and STERMAN, J. (2008). Heterogeneity and Network Structure in the Dynamics of Diffusion: Comparing Agent-Based and Differential Equation Models. Management Science. 54(5), 998-1014.

STERMAN, J. D., HENDERSON, R., BEINHOCKER, E. & NEWMAN, L. (2007) Getting Big Too Fast: Strategic Dynamics with Increasing Returns and Bounded Rationality. Management Science, 53, 683-696.

STERMAN, J. & BOOTH SWEENEY, L. (2007) Cloudy Skies: Assessing public understanding of global warming. Reflections, 7, 36-54.

STERMAN, J. & BOOTH SWEENEY, L. (2007) Understanding Public Complacency About Climate Change: Adults' Mental Models of Climate Change Violate Conservation of Matter. Climatic Change, 80, 213-238.

STERMAN, J. (2007) Exploring the Next Great Frontier: System Dynamics at Fifty. System Dynamics Review, 23, 89-93.

BOOTH SWEENEY, L. & STERMAN, J. (2007) Thinking about systems: Students' and their teachers' conceptions of natural and social systems. System Dynamics Review, 23, 285-312.

STERMAN, J. (2006) Learning from Evidence in a Complex World. American Journal of Public Health, 96, 505-514.

GONÇALVES, P., HINES, J. & STERMAN, J. (2005) The Impact of Endogenous Demand on Push-Pull Production Systems. System Dynamics Review, 21, 187-216.

REPENNING, N. & STERMAN, J. D. (2003) E' difficile creare interesse resolvendo problemi che nonsi sono mai manifestati. Quaderni di Management, 2 (March-April), 70-97.

OLIVA, R., STERMAN, J. D. & GIESE, M. (2003) Limits to Growth in the New Economy: Exploring the 'Get Big Fast' Strategy in e-commerce. System Dynamics Review, 19, 83-117.

FORD, D. & STERMAN, J. D. (2003) The Liar's Club: Concealing Rework in Concurrent Development. Concurrent Engineering: Research and Applications, 11, 211-220.

FORD, D. & STERMAN, J. (2003) Overcoming the 90% Syndrome: Iteration Management in Concurrent Development Projects. Concurrent Engineering: Research and Applications, 11, 177-186.

STERMAN, J. D. & REPENNING, N. (2002) Nobody Ever Gets Credit for Fixing Problems that Never Happened. IEEE Engineering Management Review, 30, 64-78.

STERMAN, J. D. & BOOTH SWEENEY, L. (2002) Cloudy Skies: Assessing Public Understanding of Global Warming. System Dynamics Review, 18, 207-240.

STERMAN, J. D. (2002) All Models are Wrong: Reflections on Becoming a Systems Scientist. System Dynamics Review, 18, 501-531.

STERMAN, J. D. (2002) System Dynamics Modeling: Tools for Learning in a Complex World. IEEE Engineering Management Review, 30, 42-52.

STERMAN, J. D. (2002) Dana Meadows: Thinking Globally, Acting Locally. System Dynamics Review, 18, 101-107.

REPENNING, N. & STERMAN, J. (2002) Capability Traps and Self-Confirming Attribution Errors in the Dynamics of Process Improvement. Administrative Science Quarterly, 47, 265-295.

STERMAN, J. D. (2001) Modeling Managerial Behavior: Misperceptions of Feedback in a Dynamic Decision Making Experiment. Japanese Journal of System Dynamics, 2, 79-96.

STERMAN, J. (2001) Fine-Tuning Your Causal Loop Diagrams, Part II. The Systems Thinker, 12, 6-7.

STERMAN, J. (2001) System Dynamics Modeling: Tools for Learning in a Complex World. California Management Review, 43, 8-25.

STERMAN, J. (2001) Fine-Tuning Your Causal Loop Diagrams, Part I. The Systems Thinker, 12, 6-7.

REPENNING, N. & STERMAN, J. (2001) Nobody Ever Gets Credit for Fixing Problems that Never Happened: Creating and Sustaining Process Improvement. California Management Review, 43, 64-88.

OLIVA, R. & STERMAN, J. (2001) Cutting Corners and Working Overtime: Quality Erosion in the Service Industry. Management Science, 47, 894-914.

STERMAN, J. D. (2000) The 2000 Jay W. Forrester Award. System Dynamics Review, 16.

STERMAN, J. (2000) Learning in and about complex systems. Reflections (the journal of the Society for Organizational learning), 1, 24-49.

MUNIER, B., SELTEN, R., BOUYSSOU, D., BOUGINE, P., DAY, R., HARVEY, N., HILTON, D., MACHINA, M., PARKER, P., STERMAN, J., WEBER, E., WERNERFELT, B. & WENSLEY, R. (2000) Bounded Rationality Modeling. Marketing Letters, Special Issue, Invitational Choice Symposium, 103-135.

BOOTH SWEENEY, L. & STERMAN, J. D. (2000) Bathtub Dynamics: Initial Results of a Systems Thinking Inventory. System Dynamics Review, 16, 249-294.

STERMAN, J. & WITTENBERG, J. (1999) Path Dependence, Competition, and Succession in the Dynamics of Scientific Revolution. Organization Science, 10, 322-341.

KEATING, E., OLIVA, R., REPENNING, N., ROCKART, S. & STERMAN, J. (1999) Overcoming the Improvement Paradox. European Management Journal, 17, 120-134.

STERMAN, J. D. (1998) Modeling Managerial Behavior: Misperceptions of Feedback in a Dynamic Decision Making Experiment. Japanese Journal of System Dynamics, 2.

FORD, D. N. & STERMAN, J. D. (1998) Dynamic Modeling of Product Development Processes. System Dynamics Review, 14, 31-68.

FORD, D. & STERMAN, J. (1998) Expert Knowledge Elicitation for Improving Mental and Formal Models. System Dynamics Review, 14, 309-340.

STERMAN, J. D., REPENNING, N. & KOFMAN, F. (1997) Unanticipated Side Effects of Successful Quality Programs: Exploring a Paradox of Organizational Improvement. Management Science, 43(4), 501-521.

STERMAN, J. D. (1997) The 1996 Jay W. Forrester Award. System Dynamics Review, 13, 53-55.

CAVALERI, S. & STERMAN, J. (1997) Towards Evaluation of Systems Thinking Interventions: A Case Study. System Dynamics Review, 13, 171-186.

STERMAN, J. D. (1996) The 1995 Jay W. Forrester Award. System Dynamics Review, 12, 79-80.

STERMAN, J. D. (1996) Discussion of Bounded Rationality and Market Fluctuations. Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, 29, 251-256.

RISCH, J., TROYANO-BERMÚDEZ, L. & STERMAN, J. D. (1995) Designing Corporate Strategy with System Dynamics: A Case Study in the Pulp and Paper Industry. System Dynamics Review, 11, 249-274.

KAMPMANN, C., HAXHOLDT, C., MOSEKILDE, E. & STERMAN, J. D. (1995) Entrainment in a Disaggregated Economic Long Wave Model. Open Systems and Information Dynamics, 3, 255-274.

HAXHOLDT, C., KAMPMANN, C., MOSEKILDE, E. & STERMAN, J. D. (1995) Mode Locking and Entrainment of Endogenous Economic Cycles. System Dynamics Review, 11, 177-198.

DIEHL, E. & STERMAN, J. D. (1995) Effects of Feedback Complexity on Dynamic Decision Making. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 62, 198-215.

STERMAN, J. D. (1994) Learning In and About Complex Systems. System Dynamics Review, 10, 291-330.

PAICH, M. & STERMAN, J. D. (1993) Boom, Bust, and Failures to Learn in Experimental Markets. Management Science, 39, 1439-1458.

THOMSEN, J. S., MOSEKILDE, E. & STERMAN, J. D. (1992) Hyperchaotic Phenomena in Dynamic Decision Making. Journal of Systems Analysis and Modelling Simulation (SAMS), 9, 137-156.

STERMAN, J. D. (1992) Teaching Takes Off: Flight Simulators for Management Education. OR/MS Today, 40-44.

STERMAN, J. D. (1992) Response to "On the very idea of a system dynamics model of Kuhnian science". System Dynamics Review, 8, 35-42.

SENGE, P. & STERMAN, J. D. (1992) Systems Thinking and Organizational Learning: Acting Locally and Thinking Globally in the Organization of the Future. European Journal of Operational Research, 59, 137-150.

MOSEKILDE, E., LARSEN, E. R., STERMAN, J. D. & THOMSEN, J. S. (1992) Nonlinear Mode-Interaction in the Macroeconomy. Annals of Operations Research, 37, 185-215.

GRAHAM, A. K., MORECROFT, J. D., SENGE, P. M. & STERMAN, J. D. (1992) Model Supported Case Studies for Management Education. European Journal of Operational Research, 59, 151-166.

DAVIDSEN, P., STERMAN, J. D. & RICHARDSON, G. P. (1990) A Petroleum Life Cycle Model for the United States with Endogenous Technology, Exploration, Recovery, and Demand. System Dynamics Review, 6, 66-93.

STERMAN, J. D. (1989) Deterministic Chaos in an Experimental Economic System. Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, 12, 1-28.

STERMAN, J. D. (1989) Modeling Managerial Behavior: Misperceptions of Feedback in a Dynamic Decision Making Experiment. Management Science, 35, 321-339.

STERMAN, J. D. (1989) Misperceptions of Feedback in Dynamic Decision Making. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 43, 301-335.

ÖZVEREN, C. & STERMAN, J. D. (1989) Control Theory Heuristics for Improving the Behavior of Economic Models. System Dynamics Review, 5, 130-147.

STERMAN, J. D., RICHARDSON, G. P. & DAVIDSEN, P. (1988) Modeling the Estimation of Petroleum Resources in the United States. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 33, 219-249.

STERMAN, J. D. (1988) Review of "Nuclear Crash: The U.S. Economy After Small Nuclear Attacks" by M. Anjali Sastry, Joseph Romm, and Kosta Tsipis. System Dynamics Review, 3, 165-167.

STERMAN, J. D. (1988) Deterministic Chaos in Models of Human Behavior: Methodological Issues and Experimental Results. System Dynamics Review, 4, 148-178.

STERMAN, J. D. (1988) Modeling the Formation of Expectations: The History of Energy Demand Forecasts. International Journal of Forecasting, 4, 243-259.

RICHARDSON, G. P. & STERMAN, J. D. (1988) A Note on the Migratory Dynamics Analysis of Reiner, Munz, and Weidlich. System Dynamics Review, 4, 200-207.

STERMAN, J. D. (1987) Expectation Formation in Behavioral Simulation Models. Behavioral Science, 32, 190-211.

STERMAN, J. D. (1987) Testing Behavioral Simulation Models by Direct Experiment. Management Science, 33, 1572-1592.

STERMAN, J. D. (1986) Debt, Default, and Long Waves: Is History Relevant? Bank Credit Analyst, 38, 28-42.

STERMAN, J. D. (1986) The Economic Long Wave: Theory and Evidence. System Dynamics Review, 2, 87-125.

WANG, Q. & STERMAN, J. D. (1985) A Disaggregate Population Model of China. Simulation, 45, 7-14.

STERMAN, J. D. & RICHARDSON, G. P. (1985) An Experiment to Evaluate Methods for Estimating Fossil Fuel Resources. Journal of Forecasting, 4, 197-226.

STERMAN, J. D. & MEADOWS, D. L. (1985) STRATEGEM-2: A Microcomputer Simulation Game of the Kondratiev Cycle. Simulation and Games, 16, 174-202.

STERMAN, J. D. (1985) The Growth of Knowledge: Testing a Theory of Scientific Revolutions with a Formal Model. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 28, 93-122.

STERMAN, J. D. (1985) An Integrated Theory of the Economic Long Wave. Futures, 17, 104-131.

STERMAN, J. D. (1985) A Behavioral Model of the Economic Long Wave. Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, 6, 17-53.

RASMUSSEN, S., MOSEKILDE, E. & STERMAN, J. D. (1985) Bifurcations and Chaotic Behavior in a Simple Model of the Economic Long Wave. System Dynamics Review, 1, 92-110.

STERMAN, J. D. (1984) Appropriate Summary Statistics for Evaluating the Historical Fit of System Dynamics Models. Dynamica, 10, 51-66.

STERMAN, J. D. (1983) The Long Wave. Science, 219, 1276.

STERMAN, J. D. (1983) Economic Vulnerability and the Energy Transition. Energy Systems and Policy, 7, 259-301.

STERMAN, J. D. (1982) A Dynamic, Disequilibrium Model of Energy-Economy Interactions. International Journal of Energy Systems, 2, 159-163.

MALONEY, S. & STERMAN, J. D. (1982) Policy Analysis of the Low-Level Radioactive Waste-Disposal Problem in the United States. Nuclear Safety, 23, 300-309.

Chapters in Edited Volumes

LANE, D. and STERMAN, J. (Forthcoming).  Jay Wright Forrester.  Pioneers of Operations Research. S. Gass and A. Assad.

STERMAN, J. D. (2006) Operational and Behavioral Causes of Supply Chain Instability. IN CARRANZA, O. & VILLEGAS, F. (Eds.) The Bullwhip Effect in Supply Chains. Palgrave McMillan.

STERMAN, J. D. & BOOTH SWEENEY, L. (2005) Managing Complex Dynamic Systems: Challenge and Opportunity for Naturalistic Decision Making Theory. IN MONTGOMERY, H., LIPSHITS, R. & BREHMER, B. (Eds.) How professionals make decisions. Mahwah, NJ, Lawrence Erlbaum Associates.

CROSON, R., DONOHUE, K., KATOK, E. & STERMAN, J. (2005) Supply Chain Management: A Teaching Experiment. IN ZWICK, R. & RAPOPORT, A. (Eds.) Experimental Business Research, Vol. 3: Marketing, Accounting, and Cognitive Perspectives. Springer.

STERMAN, J. D. (2004) Market Growth, Collapse, and Failures to Learn from Interactive Simulation Games. Encyclopedia of Life Support Systems. Paris; Oxford, UNESCO Publishing-EOLSS Publishers.

STERMAN, J. D. (2004) Supply Chain Dynamics, the 'Beer Distribution Game' and Misperceptions in Dynamic Decision Making. Encyclopedia of Life Support Systems. Paris; Oxford, UNESCO Publishing-EOLSS Publishers.

ANCONA, D., BAILYN, L., BRYNJOLFSSON, E., CARROLL, J., KOCHAN, T., LESSARD, D., MALONE, T., ORLIKOWSKI, W., ROCKART, J., SCOTT MORTON, M., SENGE, P., STERMAN, J. & YATES, J. (2003) What do we really want? A manifesto for the organizations of the 21st century. IN MALONE, T., LAUBACHER, R. & SCOTT MORTON, M. (Eds.) Inventing the Organizations of the 2st Century. Cambridge, MA, The MIT Press.

STERMAN, J. D. (2002) A Behavioral Model of the Economic Long Wave. IN EARL, P. E. (Ed.) The Legacy of Herbert Simon in Economic Analysis. Cheltenham, UK, Edward Elgar.

REPENNING, N. P. & STERMAN, J. D. (2000) Getting Quality the Old Fashioned Way: Self-Confirming Attributions in the Dynamics of Process Improvement. IN SCOTT, R. & COLE, R. (Eds.) The Quality Movement and Organizational Theory. Newbury Park, CA, Sage.

PAICH, M. & STERMAN, J. (2000) Boom, Bust, and Failures to Learn in Expermental Markets. IN FOSCHIANI, S., HABENICHT, W., SCHMID, U. & WAESCHER, G. (Eds.) Strategisches Management im Zeichen von Umbruch und Wandel (Festchrift for Erich Zahn). Stuttgart, Schäffer-Poeschel Verlag.

STERMAN, J. D. (1998) Superstitious Learning. IN THINKER, T. S. (Ed.) Organizational Learning at Work. Waltham, Pegasus Communications.

OLIVA, R., ROCKART, S. & STERMAN, J. D. (1998) Managing Multiple Improvement Efforts. IN FEDOR, D. B. & GOUSH, S. (Eds.) Advances in the Management of Organizational Quality. Stamford, CT, JAI Press.

CARROLL, J. S., STERMAN, J. D. & MARCUS, A. A. (1998) Playing the Maintenance Game: How Mental Models Drive Organizational Decisions. IN HALPERN, J. J. & STERN, R. N. (Eds.) Debating Rationality: Nonrational Elements of Organizational Decision Making. Ithaca, NY, Cornell University Press.

MOSEKILDE, E. & STERMAN, J. D. (1997) Economic Cycles in a Behavioral Disequilibrium Perspective. IN FANG, F. & SANGLIER, M. (Eds.) Complexity and Self-Organization in Social and Economic Systems. Berlin, Springer Verlag.

STERMAN, J. D. & RICHARDSON, G. P. (1996) An Experiment to Evaluate Methods for Estimating Fossil Fuel Resources. IN RICHARDSON (Ed.) Modelling for Management. Aldershot, UK, Dartmouth Publishing Company.

STERMAN, J. D. & PAICH, M. (1996) Boom, Bust, and Failures to Learn in Experimental Markets. IN RICHARDSON, G. P. (Ed.) Modelling for Management. Aldershot, UK, Dartmouth Publishing Company.

STERMAN, J. D. (1996) Deterministic Chaos in an Experimental Economic System. IN DECHERT, W. D. (Ed.) Chaos Theory in Economics: Methods, Models and Evidence. Cheltenham, UK, Edward Elgar.

STERMAN, J. D. (1996) Modeling Managerial Behavior: Misperceptions of Feedback in a Dynamic Decision Making Experiment. IN RICHARDSON, G. P. (Ed.) Modelling for Management. Aldershot, UK, Dartmouth Publishing Company.

STERMAN, J. D. (1996) Learning in and about complex systems. IN RICHARDSON, G. P. (Ed.) Modelling for Management. Aldershot, UK, Dartmouth Publishing Company.

STERMAN, J. D. (1996) A Skeptic's Guide to Computer Models. IN RICHARDSON, G. P. (Ed.) Modelling for Management. Aldershot, UK, Dartmouth Publishing Company.

STERMAN, J. D. (1996) Linking Teams with Systems Learning. IN CAVALERI, S. & FEARON, D. (Eds.) Managing in Organizations that Learn. Cambridge MA, Blackwell.

STERMAN, J. D. (1995) The Beer Distribution Game. IN HEINEKE, J. N. & MEILE, L. C. (Eds.) Games and Exercises for Operations Management. Englewood Cliffs, NJ, Prentice Hall.

MOSEKILDE, E., THOMSEN, J. & STERMAN, J. D. (1995) Chaos and Hyperchaos in an Experimental Economic System. IN TRAN, J. T. V. E. A. (Ed.) Chaos and Complexity. Paris, Editions Frontières.

STERMAN, J. D. & MOSEKILDE, E. (1994) Business Cycles and Long Waves: A Behavioral, Disequilibrium Perspective. IN SEMMLER, W. (Ed.) Business Cycles: Theory and Empirical Methods. Boston, Kluwer Academic Publishers.

STERMAN, J. D. (1994) Beyond Training Wheels. IN SENGE, P., ROBERTS, C., ROSS, R., SMITH, B. & KLEINER, A. (Eds.) The Fifth Discipline Fieldbook. New York, Doubleday.

STERMAN, J. D. (1994) The Economic Long Wave: Theory and Evidence. IN SHIMADA, T. (Ed.) An Introduction to System Dynamics. Tokyo.

RADZICKI, M. S. & STERMAN, J. D. (1994) Evolutionary Economics and System Dynamics. IN ENGLAND, R. (Ed.) Evolutionary Concepts in Contemporary Economics. Ann Arbor, University of Michigan Press.

KAMPMANN, C., HAXHOLDT, C., MOSEKILDE, E. & STERMAN, J. D. (1994) Entrainment in a Disaggregated Economic Long Wave Model. IN LEYDESDORFF, L. & VAN DEN BESSELAAR, P. (Eds.) Evolutionary Economics and Chaos Theory. London, Pinter.

MOSEKILDE, E., LARSEN, E. R., STERMAN, J. D. & THOMSEN, J. S. (1993) Mode Locking and Nonlinear Entrainment of Macroeconomic Cycles. IN DAY, R. & CHEN, P. (Eds.) Nonlinear Economics and Evolutionary Economics. New York, Oxford University Press.

MOSEKILDE, E., THOMSEN, J. S. & STERMAN, J. D. (1992) Nonlinear Interactions in the Economy. IN HAAG, G., MÜLLER, U. & TROITZSCH, K. (Eds.) Economic Evolution and Demographic Change. Berlin, Springer Verlag.

THOMSEN, J. S., MOSEKILDE, E. & STERMAN, J. D. (1991) Hyperchaotic Phenomena in Dynamic Decision Making. IN SINGH, M. G. & TRAVÉ-MASSUYÈS, L. (Eds.) Decision Support Systems and Qualitative Reasoning. Amsterdam, Elsevier Science Publishers.

THOMSEN, J. S., MOSEKILDE, E., LARSEN, E. R. & STERMAN, J. D. (1991) Mode-Locking and Chaos in a Periodically Driven Model of the Economic Long Wave. IN EBELING, W. (Ed.) Models of Self Organization in Complex Systems. Berlin, Akademie Verlag.

STERMAN, J. D. (1991) A Skeptic's Guide to Computer Models. IN BARNEY, G. O., KREUTZER, W. B. & GARRETT, M. J. (Eds.) Managing a Nation. 2 ed. Boulder, CO, Westview Press.

SENGE, P. & STERMAN, J. D. (1991) Systems Thinking and Organizational Learning: Acting Locally and Thinking Globally in the Organization of the Future. IN KOCHAN, T. & USEEM, M. (Eds.) Transforming Organizations. Oxford, Oxford University Press.

MOSEKILDE, E., LARSEN, E. R. & STERMAN, J. D. (1991) Coping with complexity: Deterministic chaos in human decisionmaking behavior. IN CASTI, J. L. & KARLQVIST, A. (Eds.) Beyond Belief: Randomness, Prediction, and Explanation in Science. Boston, CRC Press.

MOSEKILDE, E., LARSEN, E. R. & STERMAN, J. D. (1990) Coping With Complexity: Deterministic Chaos in Human Decision Making Behavior. IN BOHR, H. (Ed.) Characterising Complex Systems. Singapore, World Scientific.

STERMAN, J. D. (1989) Misperceptions of Feedback in Dynamic Decision Making. IN MILLING, P. & ZAHN, E. (Eds.) Computer Based Management of Complex Systems. Berlin, Springer Verlag.

GRAHAM, A. K., SENGE, P., STERMAN, J. D. & MORECROFT, J. D. W. (1989) Computer-Based Case Studies in Management Education and Research. IN MILLING, P. & ZAHN, E. (Eds.) Computer Based Management of Complex Systems. Berlin, Springer Verlag.

STERMAN, J. D. (1988) A Skeptic's Guide to Computer Models. IN GRANT, L. (Ed.) Foresight and National Decisions. Lanham, MD, University Press of America.

STERMAN, J. D. (1988) Nonlinear Dynamics in the World Economy: The Economic Long Wave. IN CHRISTIANSEN, P. & PARMENTIER, R. (Eds.) Structure, Coherence, and Chaos in Dynamical Systems. Manchester, Manchester University Press.

STERMAN, J. D. & WANG, Q. (1987) A Disaggregate Population Model of China. IN WANG, Q., SENGE, P., RICHARDSON, G. P. & MEADOWS, D. H. (Eds.) Theory and Application of System Dynamics. Beijing, New Times Press.

STERMAN, J. D. (1987) Debt, Default, and Long Waves: Is History Relevant? IN BOECKH, A. (Ed.) The Escalation in Debt and Disinflation: Prelude to Financial Mania and Crash? Montreal, BCA Publications.

STERMAN, J. D. (1987) An Integrated Theory of the Economic Long Wave. IN WANG, Q., SENGE, P., RICHARDSON, G. P. & MEADOWS, D. H. (Eds.) Theory and Application of System Dynamics. Beijing, New Times Press.

STERMAN, J. D. (1987) The Economic Long Wave: Theory and Evidence. IN VASKO, T. (Ed.) The Long Wave Debate. Berlin, Springer Verlag.

RASMUSSEN, S., MOSEKILDE, E. & STERMAN, J. D. (1987) Bifurcations and Chaotic Behavior in a Simple Model of the Economic Long Wave. IN WANG, Q., SENGE, P., RICHARDSON, G. P. & MEADOWS, D. H. (Eds.) Theory and Application of System Dynamics. Beijing, New Times Press.

Conference Proceedings

SENGE, P., JONES, A., BOOTH SWEENEY, L., STERMAN, J., MARTIN, J. & FIDDAMAN, T. (2007) The Climate Bathub Sims: Interactive Simulators to Teach Stock-and-Flow Mechanics of Global Warming. 25th International System Dynamics Conference. Boston, MA, System Dynamics Society.

HSUEH, J., DOGAN, G. & STERMAN, J. (2006) Teaching Strategic Management With the Industry Evolution Management Flight Simulator. IN VENNIX, J. & GROESLLER, A. (Eds.) 24th International System Dynamics Conference. Nijmegen, Netherlands, System Dynamics Society.

GONÇALVES, P. & STERMAN, J. D. (2005) Overordering Games in Supply Chains. IN SPENCER, R. (Ed.) International System Dynamics Conference. Boston MA, System Dynamics Society.

DOGAN, G. & STERMAN, J. (2005) When less leads to more: Phantom ordering in the beer game. 23rd International System Dynamics Conference. Boston, MA, System Dynamics Society.

BURTON, L., COLEMAN-KAMMULA, S., STERMAN, J. D., ANDERSEN, D. & RICHARDSON, G. (2005) A System Dynamics Study of a Commodity Plastics Industry. 23rd International System Dynamics Conference. Boston MA.

STERMAN, J. D. (2002) System Dynamics: Systems Thinking and Modeling for a Complex World. IN ALLEN, T. A. M., J. (Ed.) MIT Engineering Systems Division Symposium. Cambridge MA, MIT.

RAHMANDAD, H., REPENNING, N. & STERMAN, J. D. (2002) Learning from Experience with Delayed Feedback. International System Dynamics Conference. Palermo, Sicily, System Dynamics Society.

LANGLEY, P., PAICH, M. & STERMAN, J. D. (1998) Explaining Capacity Overshoot and Price War: Misperceptons of Feedback in Competitive Growth Markets. International System Dynamics Conference. Quebec City, Quebec, System Dynamics Society.

ZAMUDIO-RAMIREZ, P., SPICER, A., STERMAN, J. D., EPPINGER, S. & EHRENFELD, J. (1996) Economics of Automobile Recycling. IN RICHARDSON, G. P. & STERMAN, J. D. (Eds.) 1996 International System Dynamics Conference. Cambridge, Massachusetts, System Dynamics Society.

STERMAN, J. D. (1993) Caught by the Long Wave. Globe and Mail. Toronto.

Magazines, Newspapers and Other

STERMAN, J. & BOOTH SWEENEY, L. (2007) Understanding Public Complacency About Climate Change. Rotman Magazine, Rotman School of Management, University of Toronto.

STERMAN, J. (2007) Addressing Global Warming Through Systems Thinking (in Japanese). Global Edge.

STERMAN, J. D. (2002) System Dynamics Modeling for Project Management. Projects and Profits:.

STERMAN, J. D., HENDERSON, R., BEINHOCKER, E. D. & NEWMAN, L. I. (1995) A Behavioral Analysis of Learning Curve Strategy. Cambridge, MA 02142, MIT Sloan School of Management.

MOSEKILDE, E. & STERMAN, J. D. (1994) Business Cycles and Long Waves: A Behavioral Disequilibrium Perspective (condensed version). Beijing, China, Nonlinear Evolutionary Dynamics.

STERMAN, J. D. & FIDDAMAN, T. (1993) The Beer Distribution Game Flight Simulator. Cambridge, MA 02142, MIT Sloan School of Management.

BAKKEN, B. & STERMAN, J. D. (1993) International Oil Tanker Management Flight Simulator. Cambridge, MA 02142, MIT Sloan School of Management.

BAKKEN, B. & STERMAN, J. D. (1993) Commercial Real Estate Management Flight Simulator. Cambridge, MA 02142, MIT Sloan School of Management.

STERMAN, J. D., BANAGHAN, E. & GORMAN, E. (1992) Learning to Stitch in Time: Building a Proactive Mantenance Culture at E.I. Du Pont de Nemours and Co. Cambridge, MA, MIT Sloan School of Management.

STERMAN, J. D. (1992) System Dynamics Modeling for Project Management. Cambridge, MA, Sloan School of Management, MIT.

STERMAN, J. D., MOSEKILDE, E. & THOMSEN, J. (1991) Experimental Evidence of Deterministic Chaos in Human Decision Making Behavior. Cambridge, MIT Sloan School of Management.

STERMAN, J. D. (1991) B & B Enterprises Management Flight Simulator. Cambridge, MA 02142, MIT Sloan School of Management.

STERMAN, J. D. (1988) People Express Management Flight Simulator. Available from author, MIT Sloan School of Management, Cambridge, MA 02139.

STERMAN, J. D. (1982) Economic Vulnerability Caused by the Energy Transition. Project on Analysis of Energy-Economy Interactions. California Energy Commission.

STERMAN, J. D. (1981) The Energy Transition and the Macroeconomy: A Framework for Policy Analysis. US Department of Energy.

US DEPARTMENT OF ENERGY (1979) National Energy Plan II.

Other

STERMAN, J. (2009). A Sober Optimist's Guide to Sustainability. Sloan Management Review.  Available at: sloanreview.mit.edu/beyond-green/a-sober-optimists-guide-to-sustainability.

STERMAN, J. D. (2008). Jay W. Forrester. Production and Operations Management 17(4): i-ii.

STERMAN, J. (2008). Interview. Visions:  MIT Interviews. A. Frank. Cambridge, MA, MIT Visual Arts Program: 56-69.

STERMAN, J., KAHN, J., and REAVIS, K. (2008). Sony's Battle for Video Game Supremacy. Case Study: Cambridge MA 02142, MIT Sloan School of Management.

STERMAN, J. (2007). Exploring the Next Great Frontier:  System Dynamics at Fifty. Introduction to 50th Anniversary Special Issue of System Dynamics Review.  Vol. 23(2-3): 89-93.

STERMAN, J. (2007). Foreword. The Electronic Oracle. D. Meadows and J. Robinson. Albany, New York, System Dynamics Society: xvii-xviii.

HENDERSON, R. and STERMAN, J. (2005).  Ventures in Salt:  Compass Minerals International. Case Study, MIT Sloan School of Management.

CASE, S. and STERMAN, J. (2004). Racing with the Red Queen:  Dynamics of P2P File Sharing, Case Study, MIT Sloan School of Management.  21 pp.

STERMAN, J. D. (2001). Fine-Tuning Your Causal Loop Diagrams, Part I. The Systems Thinker 12(5): 6-7.

STERMAN, J. D. (2001). Fine-Tuning Your Causal Loop Diagrams, Part II. The Systems Thinker 12(6): 6-7.

STERMAN, J. D. (1997). Superstitious Learning. The Systems Thinker, 8(5), 1-5.

STERMAN, J. D. (1994). The Meaning of Models. Science, 264(15 April), 329-330.

STERMAN, J. (1993). Caught by the Long Wave.  Toronto Globe and Mail, 20 February.

STERMAN, J., (1983).  The Long Wave.  Science.  219 (18 March), 1276.

Computer Software & Management Flight Simulators

FIDDMAN, T., SIEGEL, L., STERMAN, J., et al. (2009). C-Learn Climate Simulation, Climate Interactive.  Available at:  forio.com/simulation/climate-development.

STERMAN, J. (2008). MIT Climate Online:  Greenhouse Gas Emissions Simulator. Cambridge MA, MIT Sloan School of Management.  Available at http://web.mit.edu/jsterman/www/GHG.html (Revised 2008).

STERMAN, J. (2008). Industry Evolution Management Flight Simulator:  SunPower and the Solar Photovoltaic Industry.  Cambridge MA:  MIT Sloan School of Management (Revised 2008).

STERMAN, J. (2008). Industry Evolution Management Flight Simulator:  The Video Game Industry. Cambridge MA:  MIT Sloan School of Management (Revised 2008).

STERMAN, J. (2007). Industry Evolution Management Flight Simulator:  The Salt Industry.  Cambridge MA:  MIT Sloan School of Management.

STERMAN, J. (2007). Industry Evolution Management Flight Simulator:  Callaway Golf. Cambridge MA:  MIT Sloan School of Management.

STERMAN, J. (2006). People Express Management Flight Simulator. Accompanying Useem, M. (2006) The Go Point. New York:  Crown Books/Random House.  See www.thegopoint.com/airline_building.htm.

STERMAN, J. (2006). Time Delay Management Flight Simulator. Cambridge MA, MIT Sloan School of Management.

STERMAN, J. (2006). MIT Climate Online: Greenhouse Gas Emissions Simulator. Cambridge MA, MIT Sloan School of Management.

STERMAN, J. (2006). People Express Management Flight Simulator. IN USEEM, M. (Ed.) The Go Point.

STERMAN, J. (2002).  B & B Enterprises Management Flight Simulator.  Available at www.forio.com.

STERMAN, J., (2002/1988).  People Express Management Flight Simulator.  Software and Briefing Book.  Available from Global Strategy Dynamics www.strategydynamics.com.

STERMAN, J. D. and BAKKEN, B. (1993). Commercial Real Estate Management Flight Simulator. Software (for Macintosh) and Briefing Book. Available from author, Sloan School of Management, MIT E53-351, Cambridge MA 02142.

STERMAN, J. D., and BAKKEN B.(1993). International Oil Tanker Management Flight Simulator. Software (for Macintosh) and Briefing Book. Available from author, Sloan School of Management, MIT E53-351 Cambridge MA 02142.

STERMAN, J. D., & FIDDAMAN, T. (1993) The Beer Distribution Game Flight Simulator. Software (for Macintosh) and Briefing Book. Available from author, Sloan School of Management, MIT E53-351 Cambridge MA 02142.

STERMAN J., (1985). STRATAGEM-2: A Microcomputer Simulation of the Kondratiev Cycle. Software (for Macintosh or IBM) and Briefing Book. Available from author, Sloan School of Management, MIT E53-351, Cambridge MA 02142.